Research

The Most Consistent ORB Stocks: A Two-Year Leaderboard

The strongest 15-minute opening range breakout performers of the last two years: twelve symbols that won 60% or better across 150-plus trades each, and why win rate alone is only half the story.

August 14, 2026 ORB Strategy
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Published July 22, 2026

Horizontal bar chart of the twelve most consistent ORB stocks: AXON, PM, WMT and MVST lead at about 63% win rate, with expectancy per trade noted for each symbol
Top 15-minute ORB long performers by win rate, minimum 150 trades. Expectancy shown beside each bar.

The average 15-minute opening range breakout wins about 52% of the time across our 613-symbol universe. But nobody trades the average.

Some names respect their opening range with remarkable consistency, and concentrating on them is the single easiest upgrade to an ORB approach. Here are the strongest 15-minute ORB long performers of the last two years among symbols with at least 150 trades, from our live statistics engine.

52%Average 15-minute ORB long win rate across all 613 symbols. Every name on this leaderboard clears it comfortably.

The leaderboard

Standard configuration throughout: long entry on the break of the 15-minute opening range, full-range target, full-range stop, roughly two years of sessions.

Expectancy is in points per trade, so higher-priced symbols naturally carry larger point values. The win rate is the comparable column.

Symbol Trades Win rate Expectancy (pts)
AXON 158 63% +2.51
PM 155 63% +0.37
WMT 177 63% +0.19
MVST 154 63% +0.02
SAN 175 62% +0.01
VRTX 170 61% +0.84
IBM 161 61% +0.47
OWL 153 61% +0.04
TTWO 167 60% +0.44
NOW 156 60% +0.36
TGT 157 60% +0.25
O 180 60% +0.09
63%Win rate shared by the four leaders: AXON, PM, WMT, and MVST, each with at least 150 trades.

Win rate is only half the column that matters

Look at AXON versus MVST. Identical 63% win rates, and one earned 125 times more per trade.

Horizontal bar chart of expectancy in points per trade for the leaderboard symbols: AXON far ahead at 2.51, VRTX 0.84, OKLO 0.52, most others under half a point
Same leaderboard, money view: expectancy per trade separates identical win rates.

A win rate tells you how often the full-range target arrives before the full-range stop. It says nothing about how many dollars that range is worth.

High-priced, high-range names like AXON, VRTX, and NOW convert the same hit rate into vastly more expectancy than low-priced tickers, before position sizing evens the comparison.

That is why the leaderboard should be read two ways:

  • The win column for consistency: how often the full-range target arrives before the stop.
  • The expectancy column for payoff: how much each unit of that consistency has actually been worth in points.
125xHow much more AXON earned per trade than MVST, despite identical 63% win rates.

What the consistent names have in common

The list is not a collection of meme tickers. It is dominated by large, liquid institutional names: a defense-tech leader, consumer staples, big-cap healthcare, enterprise software.

What sets them apart from the rest of the universe:

  • Deep order books: there is enough resting liquidity that a break of the range takes real buying to produce.
  • Persistent institutional flow: a decisive break of the opening range reflects real repositioning rather than a random flicker.
  • One break, meant: thin, jumpy names can break their range a dozen times a morning. The names above tend to break it once and mean it.

How to use the list

Every symbol above links to its full statistics page, with both directions, all three range definitions, and the complete trade distributions. Our study of the overall ORB win rate covers what a typical symbol looks like, so you can see how far these leaders sit from the pack.

The practical workflow is the one the leaderboard implies:

  • Build from documented history: start the morning watchlist with names that have a track record of respecting their range.
  • Let pre-market pick among them: the day’s pre-market action decides which of those names are actually in play.
  • Trade the current numbers: the stats pages update continuously, so check them rather than relying on a snapshot.

Two years and 150-plus trades per name is a meaningful sample. But these rankings drift as market character changes.

The fine print

  • Backtested fills: results assume entries at the breakout level without slippage.
  • Points, not percent: expectancy is in points per trade and must be squared with each symbol’s price before comparing.
  • Rankings drift: a two-year leaderboard is a history, not a promise. Trade the current numbers.

Further reading

Frequently asked questions

What is the average win rate for a 15-minute opening range breakout?

The average 15-minute ORB long wins about 52% of the time across our 613-symbol universe. That figure covers a typical name with a full-range target and full-range stop. Every symbol on the consistency leaderboard clears 52% comfortably.

Which stocks have the highest ORB win rate?

Four names share the top 15-minute ORB long win rate of 63%: AXON, PM, WMT, and MVST, each with at least 150 trades over roughly two years. The next tier, SAN at 62% and VRTX and IBM at 61%, sits just behind.

Which ORB stock has the best expectancy per trade?

AXON leads with +2.51 points of expectancy per trade over 158 trades, far ahead of the rest of the leaderboard. Expectancy is measured in points, so AXON’s high price and wide range convert its 63% win rate into far larger point value than lower-priced names.

Why do two stocks with the same win rate make different profits?

AXON earned 125 times more per trade than MVST despite both posting identical 63% win rates. A win rate only tells you how often the full-range target arrives before the stop; it says nothing about how many points that range is worth. Expectancy captures the payoff.

How many trades make an ORB stock’s stats reliable?

Every symbol on this leaderboard has at least 150 trades across roughly two years of sessions. That threshold, combined with the two-year window, is a meaningful sample rather than a short snapshot, though rankings still drift as market character changes.

What kinds of stocks are most consistent for ORB trades?

All 12 leaderboard names are large, liquid institutional stocks rather than meme tickers, spanning defense-tech, consumer staples, big-cap healthcare, and enterprise software. They share deep order books and persistent institutional flow, so a break of the opening range tends to happen once and hold rather than flicker repeatedly.

Frequently Asked Questions

In our two-year backtest of the 15-minute opening range with at least 150 trades per symbol, the top long performers won about 63% of trades, led by AXON, PM, WMT, and MVST, with AXON also posting the highest expectancy at +2.51 points per trade.
Expectancy is measured in points, and a point is worth different amounts on a 00 stock versus a stock. Two symbols can hit their full-range targets equally often while producing very different point values per trade, which is why we publish both columns.
Rankings drift as market character changes, which is why every symbol's statistics page recalculates from the live database rather than freezing a snapshot. Use the leaderboard to build a candidate list, then confirm against the current numbers on each symbol's page.

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