ORB Statistics

SEZL Opening Range Breakout Statistics: 2-Year ORB Win Rates

Has the opening range breakout actually worked on $SEZL? Over the last two years we backtested 966 opening range trades on Sezzle Inc. Common Stock, covering the 5, 15 and 30-minute ranges, long and short. The full record is below, winners and losers both.

SEZL opening range breakout win rates

Opening range Direction Win rate Trades Expectancy (pts) Avg win (pts) Avg loss (pts)
5-minute Long 54% 166 -0.02 1.54 -1.86
5-minute Short 56% 157 -0.05 1.68 -2.26
15-minute Long 57% 165 0.20 1.99 -2.18
15-minute Short 51% 166 -0.02 2.00 -2.13
30-minute Long 53% 178 0.14 2.05 -2.00
30-minute Short 60% 134 0.41 1.98 -1.99
Every SEZL opening range breakout over the 730 days ending August 7, 2026. Target and stop both one full range width.

How to read the SEZL numbers

The strongest configuration was the 30-minute short break: 60% winners across 134 trades. Long and short breaks won at the same overall rate (55%). After wins and losses netted out, 3 of the 6 configurations carried positive expectancy per trade.

Backtest method

Entry is the break of the opening range: above the range high for longs, below the range low for shorts. The target projects one full range width from the break and the stop sits at the opposite side of the range, so risk and reward are both defined by the range itself. The window is the last 730 calendar days ending August 7, 2026, every qualifying trade counted, with no commissions or slippage modeled.

This is a historical record, not a prediction. Win rates drift as volatility regimes change, and a strong two-year record on $SEZL does not guarantee the next break follows it. Use it as context for sizing and expectations, not as a signal.

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