ORB Statistics

SONY Opening Range Breakout Statistics: 2-Year ORB Win Rates

July 8, 2026

Has the opening range breakout actually worked on $SONY? Over the last two years we backtested 861 opening range trades on Sony Group Corporation American Depositary Shares (Each Representing One Share of Dollar Validated Common Stock), covering the 5, 15 and 30-minute ranges, long and short. The full record is below, winners and losers both.

SONY opening range breakout win rates

Opening range Direction Win rate Trades Expectancy (pts) Avg win (pts) Avg loss (pts)
5-minute Long 45% 137 -0.02 0.10 -0.13
5-minute Short 56% 120 0.02 0.11 -0.10
15-minute Long 54% 146 -0.00 0.11 -0.13
15-minute Short 58% 142 0.01 0.12 -0.13
30-minute Long 54% 167 -0.00 0.11 -0.14
30-minute Short 59% 149 0.02 0.12 -0.14
Every SONY opening range breakout over the 730 days ending July 7, 2026. Target and stop both one full range width.

How to read the SONY numbers

The strongest configuration was the 30-minute short break: 59% winners across 149 trades. The short side carried the edge overall: 58% winners versus 51% for the other direction. After wins and losses netted out, 3 of the 6 configurations carried positive expectancy per trade.

Backtest method

Entry is the break of the opening range: above the range high for longs, below the range low for shorts. The target projects one full range width from the break and the stop sits at the opposite side of the range, so risk and reward are both defined by the range itself. The window is the last 730 calendar days ending July 7, 2026, every qualifying trade counted, with no commissions or slippage modeled.

This is a historical record, not a prediction. Win rates drift as volatility regimes change, and a strong two-year record on $SONY does not guarantee the next break follows it. Use it as context for sizing and expectations, not as a signal.

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